GBPJPY Playbook — Full Report

13 Years · 2012–2024 · FP Markets Raw · All Costs Included
BACKTEST REPORT
2012-01-02 to 2024-12-31
675 weeks · 2,614 trades
Generated 25 Apr 2026 12:36
4H close same direction
15min consolidation
Wick / Flip entry
SL 5–30 pips
R:R: <10pip=3R · 10-20pip=2R · 20+pip=1R
BE at next 4H close
Cost: 1.6 pips/trade
Sessions: 06:00 · 10:00 · 14:00 UK
Total R (13yr)
+942R
73R per year avg
Win Rate
46.2%
across 2,614 trades
Profit Factor
1.76
every 3yr block profitable
Avg R / Trade
+0.360R
1.395R per week
Max Drawdown
-12.90R
worst across all blocks
Trades / Year
201
17 per month avg
Max Con Wins
12
Max Con Loss
15
Breakeven
0
protected by BE mgmt
13-Year Equity Curve — Cumulative R (2012–2024)
Performance by Block
Period
Trades
Total R
Win %
Profit Factor
Weeks
2012-2014
624
+229.3R
45.4%
1.76
156wk
2015-2017
611
+243.2R
49.8%
1.85
156wk
2018-2020
596
+196.5R
43.1%
1.67
156wk
2021-2023
570
+168.2R
44.6%
1.62
155wk
2024
213
+104.3R
51.6%
2.16
52wk
TOTAL
2,614
+941.6R
46.2%
1.76
675wk
Win Rate by Session (UTC)
04:00
52%
08:00
50%
12:00
38%
Direction
LONG
47%
SHORT
45%
Entry Type
FLIP
46%
WICK
47%
Exit Reasons
TP
1202
SL
1053
BE
352
EOD
7
R:R Distribution
1:1R
641
1:2R
1256
1:3R
717
Key Metrics
Avg win
24.0p
Avg loss
-12.1p
£100k Prop Firm Projections (Conservative — 65% of backtest)
Risk %Risk/TradeEst. MonthlyEst. AnnualAnnual %Max DD £Prop Firm Safe?
0.5% £500 £1,964 £23,574 23.6% £6,450 ✓ Safe
0.7% £700 £2,750 £33,003 33.0% £9,030 ✓ Safe
1.0% £1,000 £3,929 £47,148 47.1% £12,900 ⚠ Check DD rules
Based on 73R/year backtest rate × 65% live discount = 47R/year estimated live.
Max DD of -12.9R worst case. Most prop firms allow 10% max drawdown (£10,000 on £100k).
At 0.7% risk: max DD ≈ £9,030 — within typical prop firm limits. Recommended starting risk level.